Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.016636 0.018437 0.020252 0.022213 0.024269 0.026354 0.028625
2025-06-01 0.013176 0.015972 0.018912 0.022208 0.025778 0.029508 0.033678
2025-06-08 0.010920 0.014207 0.017776 0.021884 0.026434 0.031276 0.036780
2025-06-15 0.009405 0.013049 0.017119 0.021909 0.027309 0.033142 0.039853
2025-06-22 0.007961 0.011812 0.016237 0.021558 0.027658 0.034333 0.042096
2025-06-29 0.006640 0.010588 0.015264 0.021006 0.027696 0.035107 0.043812
2025-07-06 0.005311 0.009227 0.014026 0.020057 0.027204 0.035220 0.044730
2025-07-13 0.004759 0.008804 0.013883 0.020366 0.028135 0.036919 0.047406
2025-07-20 0.004089 0.008158 0.013416 0.020246 0.028530 0.037979 0.049333
2025-07-27 0.003485 0.007543 0.012944 0.020084 0.028846 0.038924 0.051109
2025-08-03 0.003223 0.007392 0.013055 0.020630 0.029998 0.040829 0.053976
2025-08-10 0.002724 0.006837 0.012600 0.020439 0.030238 0.041653 0.055584
2025-08-17 0.002135 0.006104 0.011905 0.019973 0.030200 0.042221 0.056991
2025-08-24 0.001716 0.005593 0.011497 0.019872 0.030616 0.043345 0.059074
2025-08-31 0.001312 0.005031 0.010969 0.019578 0.030764 0.044126 0.060733
2025-09-07 0.001041 0.004664 0.010694 0.019599 0.031291 0.045349 0.062901
2025-09-14 0.000745 0.004163 0.010180 0.019268 0.031352 0.045993 0.064372
2025-09-21 0.000475 0.003620 0.009552 0.018748 0.031146 0.046296 0.065423
2025-09-28 0.000230 0.002972 0.008688 0.017854 0.030424 0.045943 0.065670
2025-10-05 0.000163 0.002833 0.008662 0.018145 0.031244 0.047481 0.068180
2025-10-12 0.000082 0.002554 0.008368 0.018032 0.031520 0.048340 0.069865
2025-10-19 0.000029 0.002282 0.008058 0.017879 0.031732 0.049111 0.071438
2025-10-26 0.000017 0.002252 0.008197 0.018394 0.032835 0.050993 0.074356